Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Everybody Loves Gold

Yes, I know everybody loves gold. In fact, everybody also loves oil, and they love stocks. It seems the world is celebrating an Obama love fest. I’ll deal with the other at another time, but for now, “It’s All About Gold.” (Hmmmm, catchy title. I wonder if it has a future somewhere. But, I digress.)

The daily sentiment index (DSI) for gold measures gold bulls vs. gold bears. For ten consecutive trading days, the index has been above 90%. A comparable streak over the past twenty-two years (time of measurement) was 12/2/04, when the DSI was above 90% for twenty consecutive days, made a high, and then gold promptly declined 10%. Yesterday, the index hit an unprecedented 97%, indicating the potential for a much steeper gold price decline.

In 1929, My grandfather knew the stock market top was in when his shoeshine boy was giving him stock tips. Could the same be occurring again as the “Friendly’s” restaurant waitresses were overheard discussing using their tips to buy gold coins? Just a thought.

Till next time,

Bill


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1 comment:

PAPA said...

Hope to meet you tomorrow in Phoenix; love your views.

John