Thursday, June 11, 2009

Headlines as We Approach the Second-Half Recovery

“The Federal Reserve lost $5.25 billion in the first quarter on the securities they acquired with last year’s bailouts of Bear Stearns and insurer AIG, according to a report issued Wednesday.”
- Reuters

“More than 600,000 seniors are delinquent in their mortgage payments, or already in foreclosure.” - USA Today

"The National Delinquency Survey from the Mortgage Bankers Association found foreclosure activity was at an all-time high in the first quarter of 2009, when the delinquency rate, which excludes homes already in the foreclosure process, hit 9.12%.”
- Newsmax.com

“The number of first-time claims for state unemployment benefits fell 24,000 to 601,000 in the week ending June 6th, the Labor Department reported Thursday.”
- MarkewWatch.com (Stated another way: “601,000 new people filed for unemployment, bringing the four-week average of continuing claims to a record 6.75 million people”)
- Bill Tatro

“U.S. sales of retail stores increased 0.5 % in May, but much of the seasonally adjusted increase reflected higher gasoline prices.” - U.S. Commerce Department

“Watches synchronized? Good. Because three weeks from today, the second-half of the year starts. That’s when the economic recovery is supposed to get underway, according to Bernanke, Geithner, Obama, Cramer, Kass, Kudlow, economists, money managers, and other associated pundits.” – MarketWatch.com

Once again, it’s lonely being on the other side of the argument.

Have a nice day.

Till next time,

Bill


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1 comment:

ChartingStock said...

3 Years Ago I Did A Long Term Analysis of the Dow Jones Industrial Average From 1929 Through 2007 & Concluded That The Often Mentioned Rule Many "Investment Managers" Spoke of Concerning 10% Annualized Returns Over The Course Of A Multi Year Period Had Been Eclipsed Many Times Over. Remembering The Lessons Of The Nasdaq Bubble, The Japanese Nikei & Previous Historical Bubbles I Came To The Conclusion That Probabilities Suggested That At Some Point The American Stock Indexes Including The DOW & S&P 500 Would Very Likely Revert Back To Mean Annualized Returns. While I Also Concluded That This Is In No Way A Certainty & That Steep Rallies Could Very Easily Continue, I Have Invested Cautiously & Accordingly Since That Analysis. Listening To Your Insights On Tickerville With Your Son Quint Tatro in the Fathers Day Special I Realized That I Was Not Alone In These Thoughts & Conclusions. Very Good Work on The Tickerville Video & Good Trading To You!
Sincerely,
@chartingstock Via Twitter